The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows potential precipitation patterns from Monday morning through Tuesday evening.
The heaviest snow will occur Monday afternoon and Tuesday evening through Tuesday. South Central and Southeast Minnesota and parts of western Wisconsin could experience several hours of freezing rain before switching to the winter mixture, followed by all snow.
Some computer models show about an inch of precipitation in many areas Monday through Tuesday night. This includes rainfall and snow moisture content. This would be more than the total average rainfall for the entire month of January.
Southwestern Minnesota will see the most snowfall, with many areas expecting double-digit snowfall over the next two days. Central Minnesota, northern metropolitan areas, and northwestern Wisconsin will see more than 6 inches of total snow cover.
Parts of southern Minnesota and southwestern Wisconsin are most likely to accumulate ice from freezing rain.
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WARNINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Winter storm warnings with varying Monday start times have been posted for much of central and southern Minnesota, including the Twin Cities metropolitan area.
Details of the Winter Storm Warning, which includes the Twin Cities metropolitan area and lasts from 3:00 pm Monday to Tuesday afternoon, are as follows:
Emergency – Winter Weather Message National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 310 PM CST 01 Jan 2023.KMPX.WS.W.0001.230102T2100Z-230104T0000Z/ Stearns-Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka – Ramsey-Washington- St Cloud, Sauk Rapids, Elk River, Cambridge, Center City, Monticello, Minneapolis, Blaine, St. Paul, Stillwater January 1, 2023 3:10 PM CST…Monday afternoon A winter storm warning is in effect from 3:00 PM to 6:00 PM CST Tuesday… *what… heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow cover ranges from 5 to 8 inches, with ice accumulations of hundreds of inches. Winds are blowing at 35 mph. * WHERE… Central and parts of Eastern Central Minnesota. *When…Monday 3pm to Tuesday he 6pm CST. * Impact…Travel can be very difficult. Precautions/Preparatory Actions… If you must travel, keep extra flashlights, food and water in your car for emergencies. You can get the latest road conditions in the state you are calling by calling 5 1 1. You can also check road conditions at 511mn.org for Minnesota and 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.
Here are the Winter Storm Warning details for southwestern Minnesota beginning Monday at 6:00 AM.
Emergency – Winter Weather Messages National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD 210 PM CST Jan 1, 2023.0005.230102T1200Z-230104T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFSD.WS.W.0001.230102T1200Z-230104T0000Z/ Davison-Hanson-McCook-Charles Mix-Douglas- 210 PM CST Sun Jan 1, 2023 …Winter Storm Warning in effect from Monday 6am to Tuesday 6pm CST… *what…heavy snow is expected. Total snow load is 10-18 inches. Light glaze ice accumulation possible. The wind is blowing 40mph. * Location…Southwest, Central, East Central, South Central Minnesota, parts of Southeast South Dakota. *When…Monday 6am to Tuesday He 6pm CST. * Impact… Travel can be very difficult or impossible. If it snows or blows, visibility can be greatly reduced. Dangerous conditions can affect your morning or evening commute. *Additional information…heavy snowfall of 1-2 inches per hour Monday night through Tuesday morning. A blizzard or near-blizzard may occur. Small variations in the storm track are still possible and could affect the expected precipitation type and amount.
Here are the details of the ice storm warning, which began at noon Monday and runs through Tuesday afternoon for south-central Minnesota.
Emergency – Winter Weather Messages National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 310 PM CST Sun Jan 1 2023 .IS.W.0001.230102T1800Z-230104T0000Z/ Blue Earth-Martin-Faribault- 310 including Mankato, Fairmont, and Blue Earth cities PM CST Sun Jan 1, 2023 …Monday 12pm to 6pm CST Tuesday… *Something…highly anticipated. Total snow cover is 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulation is about 1/4 inch. * Where… Blue Earth, Martin, County Faribault. * When…Monday noon to Tuesday 6pm CST. * Impact… planning on slippery road conditions. Severe icing can topple tree branches and power lines. Precautions/Preparatory Actions… Traveling is strongly discouraged. If you have to travel, have a spare flashlight, food and water in your car for emergencies. Be prepared for possible power outages. You can get the latest road conditions in the state you are calling by calling 5 1 1. You can also check road conditions at 511mn.org for Minnesota and 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.
A winter weather advisory begins at 6pm Monday from Red Wing to Eau Claire. Here are the details for Goodhue County:
Emergency – Winter Weather Messages National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 310 PM CST Jan 1, 2023.0001.230103T0000Z-230104T0000Z/ Goodhue- Including Red Wing City 310 PM CST Jan 1, 2023 …Monday From 6:00 PM until 6:00 PM CST Tuesday, the winter weather forecast is in… *what… Mixed precipitation is expected. Total snow cover ranges from 2 to 4 inches and ice deposits from 0.1 to 2 inches. * Where… Goodhue County. * When… Monday 6pm to Tuesday 6pm CST. * Impact… planning on slippery road conditions. Precautions/preparatory actions… Slow down and be careful when moving. You can get the latest road conditions for the state you are calling by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be checked at 511mn.org for Minnesota and 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.
Winter storm monitoring begins Monday at 6 p.m. in southeastern Minnesota. Here are the details:
Emergency – Winter Weather Messages National Weather Service La Crosse WI 250 PM CST Sun Jan 1 2023 Wabasha-Olmstead-Winona-Fillmore-Houston-Cresco, Wabasha, Rochester, Winona, Preston, including the cities of Caledonia 250 PM CST 2023 January 1 …Winter Storm Watch is in effect Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon… * WHAT…Possibility of severe mixed precipitation. Total snow cover can be up to 3 inches and ice deposits of 1/10 to 3/10 of an inch. * WHERE… parts of northeastern Iowa and southeastern Minnesota. * When… Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon. ■ Impact: Power outages and damage to trees due to freezing are possible. Travel may be nearly impossible. Dangerous conditions can affect your morning or evening commute. *Additional details… It remains possible that this storm will move north or south. Travelers are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts and statements regarding this potentially dangerous travel situation. You can
Late Monday night, from Brainerd to Duluth to northwestern Wisconsin, winter storm monitoring begins.
The temperature profile on the storm track and/or within the storm can change, which changes the extent of heavy snowfall and freezing rain.
Up-to-date weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin can be found on the Minnesota Public Radio News Network and MPR News. Live weather blog.
You can listen to my live weather forecast on MPR News on Saturday and Sunday at 7:35am, 9:35am and 4:39pm.